资源论文HDI-Forest: Highest Density Interval Regression Forest

HDI-Forest: Highest Density Interval Regression Forest

2019-10-10 | |  42 |   29 |   0
Abstract By seeking the narrowest prediction intervals (PIs) that satisfy the specified coverage probability requirements, the recently proposed quality-based PI learning principle can extract high-quality PIs that better summarize the predictive certainty in regression tasks, and has been widely applied to solve many practical problems. Currently, the stateof-the-art quality-based PI estimation methods are based on deep neural networks or linear models. In this paper, we propose Highest Density Interval Regression Forest (HDI-Forest), a novel quality-based PI estimation method that is instead based on Random Forest. HDI-Forest does not require additional model training, and directly reuses the trees learned in a standard Random Forest model. By utilizing the special properties of Random Forest, HDIForest could efficiently and more directly optimize the PI quality metrics. Extensive experiments on benchmark datasets show that HDI-Forest signifi- cantly outperforms previous approaches, reducing the average PI width by over 20% while achieving the same or better coverage probability

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