资源论文Explainable Deep Neural Networks for Multivariate Time Series Predictions

Explainable Deep Neural Networks for Multivariate Time Series Predictions

2019-10-11 | |  42 |   37 |   0
Abstract We demonstrate that CNN deep neural networks can not only be used for making predictions based on multivariate time series data, but also for explaining these predictions. This is important for a number of applications where predictions are the basis for decisions and actions. Hence, confidence in the prediction result is crucial. We design a two stage convolutional neural network architecture which uses particular kernel sizes. This allows us to utilise gradient based techniques for generating saliency maps for both the time dimension and the features. These are then used for explaining which features during which time interval are responsible for a given prediction, as well as explaining during which time intervals was the joint contribution of all features most important for that prediction. We demonstrate our approach for predicting the average energy production of photovoltaic power plants and for explaining these predictions

上一篇:ERICA and WikiTalk

下一篇:Hintikka’s World: Scalable Higher-order Knowledge

用户评价
全部评价

热门资源

  • The Variational S...

    Unlike traditional images which do not offer in...

  • Learning to Predi...

    Much of model-based reinforcement learning invo...

  • Stratified Strate...

    In this paper we introduce Stratified Strategy ...

  • A Mathematical Mo...

    Direct democracy, where each voter casts one vo...

  • Rating-Boosted La...

    The performance of a recommendation system reli...